Articles by Gardner Thornhill on sports analytics, civic data, and reporting. Read the analyses and investigations, explore the evidence, and follow the methods behind the findings.
A precinct-level dataset built by hand across 32 special elections in 13 states, comparing each result with the 2024 presidential vote, the generic-ballot average, and presidential approval on election day.
Roughly 530 players who moved from the Group of Five to the Power Five between 2022 and 2024, with regression and correlation analysis by position group on PFF grades.
Reporting on a fabricated poll, borrowed branding, and the accounts behind its release. Originally published by Elections Today in 2020; recovered from the archive and edited for republication.